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Press Room 2008
February 4, 2008

Revised Forecasts of Fiscal 2007 Business Performance

We have revised our forecasts (released at the time of the Company’s first-half results on October 31, 2007) of the Company’s business performance for fiscal 2007, ending March 31, 2008. Our latest forecasts are given below.

1. Forecasts for business results on a consolidated basis for the term ending March 31, 2008
(millions of yen)
  Sales Operating income Net income EPS
Previous forecast (A)
(Released Oct. 31, 2007)
440,000 46,000 22,000 ¥36.70
Revised forecast (B) 420,000 38,000 15,500 ¥25.86
Decrease
(B-A)
(20,000) (8,000) (6,500) (¥10.84)
Percentage change (4.5) (17.4) (29.5) (29.5)
Figure for previous term
(to March 31, 2007)
417,027 59,665 31,273 ¥52.15


2. Forecasts of business results on a non-consolidated basis for the term ending March 31, 2008
  Sales Operating income Net income EPS
Previous forecast (A)
(Released Oct. 31, 2007)
250,000 21,500 16,000 ¥26.69
Revised forecast (B) 240,000 16,500 11,000 ¥18.35
Decrease
(B-A)
(10,000) (5,000) (5,000) (¥8.34)
Percentage change (4.0) (23.3) (31.3) (31.3)
Figure for previous term
(to March 31, 2007)
238,042 39,246 25,943 ¥43.27


3. Reasons for revised forecasts
During the current term thus far, both the parent company and its consolidated subsidiaries have suffered a deterioration in their operating environments owing to sharper than expected rises in the price of raw materials and fuels, as well as the appreciation of the yen on the foreign exchange markets. Overall, the Company and its subsidiaries have not yet succeeded in revising their product prices to sufficiently offset the increased costs of raw materials and fuels, and this factor has had a major impact on business performance. In addition, our plastics and chemical products businesses have suffered from a decline in demand, most notably from the IT sector. This has been exacerbated by intensified competition with alternative materials produced by other companies. In the field of acrylic fibers, demand in our principal market of China has been sluggish during the current period thus far, and in carbon fibers and composite materials we anticipate an easing of the tight supply situation that has prevailed for some time. As a result of these factors, we now project figures for fiscal 2007 sales, operating income, and net income below the levels of our previous forecast.


For your reference (elimination of the effect of actuarial differences on performance figures):
Regarding business performance for the current term (ending March 2008), the Company posted ¥2.0 billion under operating expenses for amortization of differences arising from changes in actuarial assumptions under the pension accounting system during the previous term ended March 2007.
      On the assumption that the Company had recognized no differences under pension accounting, the estimates of results for the current term (on both a consolidated and non-consolidated basis) would be as shown in the following tables.


1. Estimates of business results (consolidated basis) for the term ending March 31, 2008 excluding effect of changes in actuarial assumptions
(millions of yen)
  Sales Operating income Net income EPS
Previous forecast (A)
(Released Oct. 31, 2007)
440,000 48,000 23,200 ¥38.71
Revised estimate (B) 420,000 40,000 16,700 ¥27.86
Decrease
(B-A)
(20,000) (8,000) (6,500) (¥10.84)
Percentage change (4.5) (16.7) (28.0) (28.0)


2. Estimates of business results (non-consolidated basis) for the term ending March 31, 2008 excluding effect of changes in actuarial assumptions
(millions of yen)
  Sales Operating income Net income EPS
Previous forecast (A)
(Released Oct. 31, 2007)
250,000 23,500 17,200 ¥28.70
Revised estimate (B) 240,000 18,500 12,200 ¥20.36
Decrease
(B-A)
(10,000) (5,000) (5,000) (¥8.34)
Percentage change (4.0) (21.3) (29.1) (29.1)
Note: The above forecasts are based on information known to the management of the Company as of the time of writing, and said forecasts may differ substantially from the actual figures as a result of a large number of unquantifiable factors.
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The contents shown herein are accurate as of the time of posting.